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 <front>
  <journal-meta>
   <journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">Bulletin of scientific research results</journal-id>
   <journal-title-group>
    <journal-title xml:lang="en">Bulletin of scientific research results</journal-title>
    <trans-title-group xml:lang="ru">
     <trans-title>Бюллетень результатов научных исследований</trans-title>
    </trans-title-group>
   </journal-title-group>
   <issn publication-format="online">2223-9987</issn>
  </journal-meta>
  <article-meta>
   <article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">65848</article-id>
   <article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.20295/2223-9987-2023-2-18-27</article-id>
   <article-categories>
    <subj-group subj-group-type="toc-heading" xml:lang="ru">
     <subject>Общетехнические задачи и пути их решения</subject>
    </subj-group>
    <subj-group subj-group-type="toc-heading" xml:lang="en">
     <subject>GENERAL TECHNICAL PROBLEMS AND SOLUTION APPROACH</subject>
    </subj-group>
    <subj-group>
     <subject>Общетехнические задачи и пути их решения</subject>
    </subj-group>
   </article-categories>
   <title-group>
    <article-title xml:lang="en">Assessment of the Geospatial Features of Climate Change, on the Example of BRICS</article-title>
    <trans-title-group xml:lang="ru">
     <trans-title>Оценка геопространственных особенностей изменения климата на примере стран BRICS</trans-title>
    </trans-title-group>
   </title-group>
   <contrib-group content-type="authors">
    <contrib contrib-type="author">
     <name-alternatives>
      <name xml:lang="ru">
       <surname>Ахтямов</surname>
       <given-names>Расул Гумерович</given-names>
      </name>
      <name xml:lang="en">
       <surname>Ahtyamov</surname>
       <given-names>Rasul Gumerovich</given-names>
      </name>
     </name-alternatives>
     <bio xml:lang="ru">
      <p>кандидат технических наук;</p>
     </bio>
     <bio xml:lang="en">
      <p>candidate of technical sciences;</p>
     </bio>
     <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/>
    </contrib>
   </contrib-group>
   <aff-alternatives id="aff-1">
    <aff>
     <institution xml:lang="ru">Петербургский государственный университет путей сообщения Императора Александра I</institution>
     <city>Санкт-Петербург</city>
     <country>Россия</country>
    </aff>
    <aff>
     <institution xml:lang="en">Emperor Alexander I St. Petersburg State Transport University</institution>
     <city>Saint-Petersburg</city>
     <country>Russian Federation</country>
    </aff>
   </aff-alternatives>
   <pub-date publication-format="print" date-type="pub" iso-8601-date="2023-06-26T13:50:15+03:00">
    <day>26</day>
    <month>06</month>
    <year>2023</year>
   </pub-date>
   <pub-date publication-format="electronic" date-type="pub" iso-8601-date="2023-06-26T13:50:15+03:00">
    <day>26</day>
    <month>06</month>
    <year>2023</year>
   </pub-date>
   <volume>2023</volume>
   <issue>2</issue>
   <fpage>18</fpage>
   <lpage>27</lpage>
   <history>
    <date date-type="received" iso-8601-date="2023-06-25T00:00:00+03:00">
     <day>25</day>
     <month>06</month>
     <year>2023</year>
    </date>
   </history>
   <self-uri xlink:href="https://itt-pgups.ru/en/nauka/article/65848/view">https://itt-pgups.ru/en/nauka/article/65848/view</self-uri>
   <abstract xml:lang="ru">
    <p>Цель: Мета-анализ данных о динамике опасных природных явлений в развивающихся странах, которые испытывают последствия климатических изменений, происходящих в глобальном масштабе. Методы: Оценен вклад стран BRICS в глобальные выбросы парниковых газов на основе массива статистических данных за период с 1990 по 2019 год. Суммарная величина выбросов всех видов парниковых газов в странах BRICS с 1990 по 2019 год составляет 391,91 ГтСО2, при этом вклад стран BRICS в 2019 году составил 52,2 % общемирового выброса парниковых газов. Результаты: Определена динамика таких природных стихийных явлений, как наводнения, волны жара и холода, засухи, оползни, ураганы в странах BRICS с 1990 по 2019 год. Приведено описание наиболее разрушительных чрезвычайных ситуаций природного характера в странах BRICS 2021 года. Практическая значимость: Обоснование необходимости ограничения глобального потепления, вызванного деятельностью человека, которое требует ограничения кумулятивных выбросов парниковых газов. Антропогенное удаление СО2 потенциально может удалить СО2 из атмосферы и надолго сохранить его в естественных резервуарах. Сложный характер климатической системы предопределяет широкий разброс в прогнозах, но даже минимальные прогнозируемые изменения могут приводить к крупномасштабным чрезвычайным ситуациям природного характера в странах BRICS. Странам BRICS целесообразно предпринимать усилия по смягчению изменения климата и сокращению выбросов парниковых газов до уровня, который позволит остановить негативное антропогенное влияние. Одновременно с этим разработка и внедрение подходов к адаптации к последствиям изменения климата позволит снизить климатические риски для социально-экономического и технологического развития стран BRICS.</p>
   </abstract>
   <trans-abstract xml:lang="en">
    <p>Purpose: Meta-analysis of data on the dynamics of dangerous natural phenomena in developing countries that experience the consequences of climatic changes occurring on a global scale. Methods: The contribution of BRICS to global greenhouse gas emissions based on an array of statistical data for the period from 1990 to 2019 has been evaluated. The total emissions of all types of greenhouse gases in BRICS countries from 1990 to 2019 is 391.91 GtCO2, while the contribution of the BRICS countries in 2019 amounted to 52.2% of the global emissions of greenhouse gases. Results: Dynamics of such natural disasters such as floods, waves of heat and cold, droughts, landslides, hurricanes in BRICS from 1990 to 2019 have been determined. A description of the most destructive emergency situations in the countries of the BRICS 2021 is given. Practical significance: Justification of the need to limit global warming caused by human activities, which requires limiting the cumulative emissions of greenhouse gases. Anthropogenic removal of CO2 can potentially remove CO2 from the atmosphere and preserve it in natural tanks for a long time. The complex nature of the climatic system determines a wide scatter in forecasts, but even minimal predicted changes can lead to large-scale natural emergency situations. In the BRICS it is advisable to make efforts to mitigate the climate change, stabilize the concentration of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere at a level that will prevent a dangerous anthropogenic effect on the climatic system, reduce greenhouse gas emissions, intensify activities aimed at adaptation to adverse consequences of climate change and promote cooperation in the countries research activities and systematic observations of the climatic system.</p>
   </trans-abstract>
   <kwd-group xml:lang="ru">
    <kwd>Изменение климата</kwd>
    <kwd>поглощение углерода</kwd>
    <kwd>парниковые газы</kwd>
    <kwd>устойчивое развитие</kwd>
    <kwd>опасные природные процессы</kwd>
   </kwd-group>
   <kwd-group xml:lang="en">
    <kwd>Climate change</kwd>
    <kwd>carbon absorption</kwd>
    <kwd>greenhouse gases</kwd>
    <kwd>sustainable development</kwd>
    <kwd>dangerous natural processes</kwd>
   </kwd-group>
  </article-meta>
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